Connecticut's comparable FBI window (2014–2024, 11 years) shows declines on both major offense rates — charts below keep the larger |endpoint| move first.
Declining-window verdict
Connecticut's violent crime rate fell 41.7% from 2014 to 2024; its property crime rate fell 27.9%. The endpoints agree on the broad direction, but the intervening years still matter.
Latest national comparison
For 2024, the state rate was 139.0 per 100,000 versus 352.0 across the state records in this dataset, a gap of 60.5% below. This is a state-level benchmark, not a neighborhood-safety conclusion.
Peak and trough
The highest observed violent-crime rate was 238.4 in 2014; the lowest was 139.0 in 2024. The latest value lies 0% of the way from that low to that peak, which shows whether the endpoint is close to an extreme or near the middle of the observed range.
Full-window endpoints
Violent crime moved from 238.4 to 139.0 per 100,000 (-41.7%). Property crime moved from 1936.0 to 1396.7 (-27.9%). These are endpoint comparisons, not proof that every intervening year followed the same direction.
Recent direction check
From 2021 to 2024, the violent-crime rate fell 20.3%, compared with -41.7% across the full 2014-2024 window. That difference is why the latest few observations should be read separately from the decade-scale endpoints.
Year-to-year movement
The largest annual change ran from 2018 to 2019: -11.9%. Across the full sequence, 1 year-to-year steps rose by more than 1% and 6 fell by more than 1%. A single sharp step can reflect participation or reporting changes as well as a real change in recorded offenses.
Connecticut's violent rate fell 11.9% (-25.0 per 100K) from 2018 to 2019 (210.2 → 185.2) — the sharpest comparable year-to-year step in this window. The largest move the other way was jumped 3.3% from 2015 to 2016 (221.1 → 228.4).
Connecticut's violent gap vs the US aggregate moved from 34.4% below in 2014 to 60.5% below in 2024 (-26.1 pp).
| Year | Coverage | Population | Violent | Rate | YoY | Property | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Comparable | 3,675,069 | 5,109 | 139 | ↓ 9.7% | 51,330 | 1396.7 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 3,617,176 | 5,570 | 154 | ↓ 0.8% | 57,134 | 1579.5 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 3,626,205 | 5,631 | 155.3 | ↓ 10.9% | 55,168 | 1521.4 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 3,605,597 | 6,286 | 174.3 | ↓ 5.7% | 56,175 | 1558 |
| 2020 | Comparable | 3,557,006 | 6,577 | 184.9 | ↓ 0.2% | 56,492 | 1588.2 |
| 2019 | Comparable | 3,565,287 | 6,604 | 185.2 | ↓ 11.9% | 51,400 | 1441.7 |
| 2018 | Comparable | 3,572,665 | 7,509 | 210.2 | ↓ 8.0% | 60,466 | 1692.5 |
| 2017 | Comparable | 3,588,184 | 8,194 | 228.4 | ↑ 0.0% | 63,993 | 1783.4 |
| 2016 | Comparable | 3,576,452 | 8,169 | 228.4 | ↑ 3.3% | 65,283 | 1825.4 |
| 2015 | Comparable | 3,590,886 | 7,938 | 221.1 | ↓ 7.3% | 65,896 | 1835.1 |
| 2014 | Comparable | 3,596,677 | 8,575 | 238.4 | - | 69,632 | 1936 |
More in Connecticut: overview, safest cities, most dangerous, compare. Methodology — FBI UCR / Crime Data Explorer rates per 100,000 for Connecticut (2014–2024); Census population where FBI denominators are missing.