Mississippi's comparable FBI window (2014–2024, 11 years) shows declines on both major offense rates — charts below keep the larger |endpoint| move first.
Declining-window verdict
Mississippi's violent crime rate fell 18.8% from 2014 to 2024; its property crime rate fell 50.2%. The endpoints agree on the broad direction, but the intervening years still matter.
Latest national comparison
For 2024, the state rate was 142.7 per 100,000 versus 352.0 across the state records in this dataset, a gap of 59.5% below. This is a state-level benchmark, not a neighborhood-safety conclusion.
Full-window endpoints
Violent crime moved from 175.8 to 142.7 per 100,000 (-18.8%). Property crime moved from 1911.2 to 952.6 (-50.2%). These are endpoint comparisons, not proof that every intervening year followed the same direction.
Peak and trough
The highest observed violent-crime rate was 201.2 in 2020; the lowest was 135.5 in 2023. The latest value lies 11% of the way from that low to that peak, which shows whether the endpoint is close to an extreme or near the middle of the observed range.
Year-to-year movement
The largest annual change ran from 2019 to 2020: +30.3%. Across the full sequence, 5 year-to-year steps rose by more than 1% and 5 fell by more than 1%. A single sharp step can reflect participation or reporting changes as well as a real change in recorded offenses.
Recent direction check
From 2021 to 2024, the violent-crime rate fell 3.3%, compared with -18.8% across the full 2014-2024 window. That difference is why the latest few observations should be read separately from the decade-scale endpoints.
Mississippi's property rate fell 25.0% (-378.4 per 100K) from 2020 to 2021 (1513.1 → 1134.7) — the sharpest comparable year-to-year step in this window. The largest move the other way was jumped 6.9% from 2019 to 2020 (1415.8 → 1513.1).
Mississippi's property gap vs the US aggregate moved from 24.2% below in 2014 to 44.3% below in 2024 (-20.1 pp).
| Year | Coverage | Population | Property | Rate | YoY | Violent | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Comparable | 2,943,045 | 28,036 | 952.6 | ↓ 10.3% | 4,201 | 142.7 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 2,939,690 | 31,221 | 1062.1 | ↓ 6.1% | 3,983 | 135.5 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 2,940,057 | 33,254 | 1131.1 | ↓ 0.3% | 4,542 | 154.5 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 2,949,965 | 33,474 | 1134.7 | ↓ 25.0% | 4,354 | 147.6 |
| 2020 | Comparable | 2,966,786 | 44,891 | 1513.1 | ↑ 6.9% | 5,969 | 201.2 |
| 2019 | Comparable | 2,976,149 | 42,136 | 1415.8 | ↑ 0.8% | 4,595 | 154.4 |
| 2018 | Comparable | 2,986,530 | 41,960 | 1405 | ↓ 11.4% | 4,431 | 148.4 |
| 2017 | Comparable | 2,984,100 | 47,324 | 1585.9 | ↓ 7.3% | 4,796 | 160.7 |
| 2016 | Comparable | 2,988,726 | 51,124 | 1710.6 | ↓ 4.1% | 5,036 | 168.5 |
| 2015 | Comparable | 2,992,333 | 53,379 | 1783.9 | ↓ 6.7% | 4,924 | 164.6 |
| 2014 | Comparable | 2,994,079 | 57,223 | 1911.2 | - | 5,263 | 175.8 |
More in Mississippi: overview, safest cities, most dangerous, compare. Methodology — FBI UCR / Crime Data Explorer rates per 100,000 for Mississippi (2014–2024); Census population where FBI denominators are missing.