Ayer, MA carries a PlainCrime B safety grade with violent crime 12% below the U.S. average
According to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program for 2024, Ayer, MA shows violent crime at 309.3 per 100,000 residents and property crime at 366.6 per 100,000. Violent crime runs 12% below the U.S. average. PlainCrime assigns grade B from those rates. Figures are voluntary agency submissions joined to population denominators; incomplete coverage can move the number.
B safety grade
309.3/100K violent
366.6/100K property
-12% vs U.S.
The verdict
Ayer earns a B safety grade: violent crime runs 12% below the U.S. average, placing it higher-crime than most U.S. cities.
B
PlainCrime safety grade
-12%
violent crime vs. U.S. average
29th
percentile of 7,769 U.S. cities
366.6
property crimes per 100K
Based on 27 reported violent incidents in a population of 8,729. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
What the 2024 FBI UCR record shows for Ayer, MA
2020–2024 direction
The reported violent-crime rate ended the window higher
Across 5 comparable reporting years, the rate moved from 97.1 per 100,000 in 2020 to 309.3 in 2024 (+218.5%). The highest observed value was 309.3 in 2024 and the lowest 97.1 in 2020. Years whose submission failed the completeness test are left out of this comparison rather than plotted as change.
Offense mix
Violent offenses make up an unusually large share of the reported mix
Violent offenses are 45.8% of the 59 Part I offenses reported in Ayer for 2024, against a median of 21.4% across comparable Massachusetts cities — a gap of 24.4 points. Offense mix is shaped by which agencies report and how incidents are classified as well as by the underlying offenses, so it describes the reported record rather than a settled difference in conditions.
Small-count caution
The violent-crime count is small enough that the derived rate is unstable
Ayer reported 27 violent offences in 2024 against a population of 8,729. At this volume one additional or one fewer report moves the per-100,000 rate noticeably, so the figure is better read as a data point than as a precise measurement, and year-to-year swings here are expected.
Comparable rate records
Ayer's closest reported-rate comparisons are in the Massachusetts cohort
The nearest comparable 2024 records to Ayer's 309.3 violent-crime rate per 100,000 are Leicester (310.4), Deerfield (307.5), Holbrook (314.1), Orange (317.6). These are same-year agency submissions that pass the same completeness screen, not a claim that the cities have identical conditions. They make the cohort position above checkable against named records instead of a generic state average.
Position in the state cohort
Ayer reported a higher violent-crime rate than most comparable Massachusetts cities
At 309.3 reported violent offenses per 100,000 residents in 2024, Ayer ranks 51 of 317 — above 266 of the 316 other Massachusetts cities whose 2024 submission passes this site’s completeness test. That is +115.1% against the cohort median of 143.8. Cities that did not report, or that reported implausibly low totals, are excluded from this cohort rather than counted as low-crime.
Property-offense composition
Burglary and vehicle theft carry more of the property total than they do across the cohort
Larceny-theft is 62.5% of reported property offenses in Ayer, against a cohort median of 78.1%. The remainder is burglary (7) and motor vehicle theft (5). Composition differences of this size usually track what kinds of places and property are present in a jurisdiction.
Ayer's FBI UCR Table 8 municipal row keeps violent and property totals in a closer balance. Per-100,000 rates use the reporting-year population on that row; incomplete reporters stay out of rate rankings. A citywide figure rarely describes any single neighbourhood inside the municipal boundary.
Based on 27 reported violent incidents in a population of 8,729. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
Small-city offense counts above are voluntary UCR submissions, not neighbourhood advice. Year-to-year swings can look large when the population base is modest.
Violent rate moved most (2023→2024)
Violent Crime Rate
+137%
130.5 → 309.3/100K
Property Crime Rate
-49.3%
723.6 → 366.6/100K
Ayer's 2024 offense mix (violent and property)
Offense
Count
Rate /100K
vs US avg
Property Crime
32
366.6
1711
Larceny-Theft
20
229.1
-
Burglary
7
80.2
-
Motor Vehicle Theft
5
57.3
-
Arson
0
0
-
Violent Crime
27
309.3
352
Aggravated Assault
24
274.9
-
Rape
3
34.4
-
Murder
0
0
-
Robbery
0
0
-
Ayer Crime Trend (2020-2024)
Ayer violent crime rate trend
Secondary series · rose · 2020-2024 · FBI UCR
Violent crime rate (2024)
309.3/100K↑137%vs 2023
Ayer property crime rate trend
Lead series · fell across 5 comparable years · FBI UCR
Property crime rate (2024)
366.6/100K↓49.3%vs 2023
Year
Coverage
Population
Violent Rate
Property Rate
Total Crimes
2020
Comparable
8,237
97.1
497.8
49
2021
Comparable
8,357
191.5
598.3
66
2022
Comparable
8,368
167.3
490
55
2023
Comparable
8,430
130.5
723.6
72
2024
Comparable
8,729
309.3
366.6
59
How Ayer sits among MA peers
Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program · split lines are the U.S. national averages
Reporting Agency
Ayer Police Department NIBRS-participating
Ayer's crime figures on this page originate from Ayer Police Department's submission to the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program.
This agency reports via NIBRS, the incident-based system that captures more detail per offense (multiple crimes per incident, victim/offender data) than the older summary counts.
Similar-Size Cities in Massachusetts
Crime rates read differently at different scales, so these are the Massachusetts cities closest to Ayer in population. Their populations run from 8,362 to 8,597, against 8,729 here. Or use our
side-by-side compare tool
to benchmark two cities directly.
These Massachusetts cities report the closest violent-crime rates to Ayer's 309.3/100K (same FBI UCR vintage rules; size peers above are excluded so the two lists stay distinct).
Ayer has a violent crime rate of 309.3 per 100,000 residents and a property crime rate of 366.6 per 100,000, based on 2024 FBI UCR data.
Is Ayer, MA safe? ▼
Ayer receives a safety grade of B (Above Average), with a safety score of 66/100. The violent crime rate is 12% below the national average and 0% above the Massachusetts average.
What is the population of Ayer, MA? ▼
The reporting population for Ayer is 8,729 as of 2024.
How many crimes were reported in Ayer? ▼
In 2024, Ayer reported 27 violent crimes and 32 property crimes, for a total of 59 reported offenses.
How do Ayer's reported offenses compare with its population? ▼
In 2024, Ayer recorded about one reported offense per 148 residents and one reported violent offense per 323 residents. These ratios count reported offenses, not distinct victims, and are not a person's probability of victimization.
Is crime increasing or decreasing in Ayer? ▼
From 2023 to 2024, Ayer's violent crime rate increased by 137%, and the property crime rate decreased by 49.3%.
What is the most common crime in Ayer? ▼
The most common crime type in Ayer is aggravated assault, accounting for 40.7% of all reported crimes (24 incidents in 2024).
Small-city read: Ayer is sourced from FBI UCR Table 8 for 2024; rates use that row's population.
Small-city rows use the same per-100,000 formula; a few unreported years can leave gaps in the trend table. Verify the agency's submission on FBI.gov UCR.
Disclaimer (small city): UCR counts here are informational only. They are not a victimization probability. Source: FBI UCR Program.