Estill Springs, TN has a C safety grade (42/100) with a violent crime rate of 528 per 100,000, 50% above the national average.
FBI UCR 2024 · per-capita rates · small municipal
Estill Springs's UCR row covers a small municipal population (2,271). Rates below are per 100,000 and sit next to TN and U.S. averages.
Data updated 2026-09-05
Estill Springs, TN is among the highest-crime cities in the country, and earns a C PlainCrime safety grade, where violent crime runs 50% above the U.S. average
According to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program for 2024, Estill Springs, TN shows violent crime at 528.4 per 100,000 residents and property crime at 572.4 per 100,000. Violent crime runs 50% above the U.S. average. PlainCrime assigns grade C from those rates. Figures are voluntary agency submissions joined to population denominators; incomplete coverage can move the number.
Small-count caution
Estill Springs reported 12 violent offences in 2024 against a population of 2,271. At this volume one additional or one fewer report moves the per-100,000 rate noticeably, so the figure is better read as a data point than as a precise measurement, and year-to-year swings here are expected.
Offense mix
Violent offenses are 48.0% of the 25 Part I offenses reported in Estill Springs for 2024, against a median of 18.7% across comparable Tennessee cities — a gap of 29.3 points. Offense mix is shaped by which agencies report and how incidents are classified as well as by the underlying offenses, so it describes the reported record rather than a settled difference in conditions.
Comparable rate records
The nearest comparable 2024 records to Estill Springs's 528.4 violent-crime rate per 100,000 are Decherd (526.7), Carthage (532.2), Mosheim (507.2), South Fulton (503.9). These are same-year agency submissions that pass the same completeness screen, not a claim that the cities have identical conditions. They make the cohort position above checkable against named records instead of a generic state average.
2020–2024 direction
Across 5 comparable reporting years, the rate moved from 1031.9 per 100,000 in 2020 to 528.4 in 2024 (-48.8%). The highest observed value was 1031.9 in 2020 and the lowest 219.0 in 2023. Years whose submission failed the completeness test are left out of this comparison rather than plotted as change.
Position in the state cohort
At 528.4 reported violent offenses per 100,000 residents in 2024, Estill Springs ranks 35 of 176 — above 141 of the 175 other Tennessee cities whose 2024 submission passes this site’s completeness test. That is +77.1% against the cohort median of 298.4. Cities that did not report, or that reported implausibly low totals, are excluded from this cohort rather than counted as low-crime.
Property-offense composition
Larceny-theft is 61.5% of reported property offenses in Estill Springs, against a cohort median of 77.1%. The remainder is burglary (4) and motor vehicle theft (1). Composition differences of this size usually track what kinds of places and property are present in a jurisdiction.
Estill Springs's FBI UCR Table 8 municipal row keeps violent and property totals in a closer balance. Per-100,000 rates use the reporting-year population on that row; incomplete reporters stay out of rate rankings. A citywide figure rarely describes any single neighbourhood inside the municipal boundary.
Based on 12 reported violent incidents in a population of 2,271. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
On a small municipal row, small denominators make rates sensitive to a handful of incidents. Figures are reported totals, not neighbourhood advice.
Across 4.8 Census sq mi, Estill Springs logged 2.7 property and 2.5 violent offenses per square mile in 2024.
Estill Springs leans on aggravated assault at 36% of reported offenses, with a moderate mix index of 2,672.
Violent offenses are 48% of the municipal total - a violence-heavy book for a small municipal.
Estill Springs offense mix (2024)
Density uses Census Gazetteer land area (4.8 sq mi); mix index is HHI x 10,000 on the offense-type shares above. Distinct from the per-100K rates in the hero.
| Offense | Count | Rate /100K |
|---|---|---|
| Property Crime | 13 | 572.4 |
| Larceny-Theft | 8 | 352.3 |
| Burglary | 4 | 176.1 |
| Motor Vehicle Theft | 1 | 44 |
| Arson | 0 | 0 |
| Violent Crime | 12 | 528.4 |
| Aggravated Assault | 9 | 396.3 |
| Rape | 2 | 88.1 |
| Robbery | 1 | 44 |
| Murder | 0 | 0 |
Secondary series · fell · 2020-2024 · FBI UCR
Lead series · fell across 5 comparable years · FBI UCR
| Year | Coverage | Population | Violent Rate | Property Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Comparable | 2,035 | 1031.9 | 1081.1 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 2,042 | 734.6 | 1077.4 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 2,266 | 573.7 | 1103.3 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 2,283 | 219 | 919.8 |
| 2024 | Comparable | 2,271 | 528.4 | 572.4 |
Estill Springs Police Department filed the 2024 UCR row behind Estill Springs's 25 reported offenses (5-year span 2020-2024).
This agency reports via NIBRS, the incident-based system that captures more detail per offense (multiple crimes per incident, victim/offender data) than the older summary counts.
Crime rates read differently at different scales, so these are the Tennessee cities closest to Estill Springs in population. Their populations run from 2,189 to 2,357, against 2,271 here. Or use our side-by-side compare tool to benchmark two cities directly.
Estill Springs sits at 528.4/100K violent (grade C); the Tennessee cities below are the nearest matches after size peers are removed.
In 2024, Estill Springs reported 12 violent crimes and 13 property crimes, for a total of 25 reported offenses.
From 2023 to 2024, Estill Springs's violent crime rate increased by 141.3%, and the property crime rate decreased by 37.8%.
The most common crime type in Estill Springs is aggravated assault, accounting for 36.0% of all reported crimes (9 incidents in 2024).
Micro-municipal read: Estill Springs's FBI UCR Table 8 row (2024) is the only source for the rates above.
With a small population base, per-100,000 rates amplify sparse counts. Incomplete submissions are excluded from rankings. See FBI.gov UCR for the raw Table 8 file.
Disclaimer (small municipal): small-base rates are especially easy to misread. Informational only - not advice. Source: FBI UCR Program.
Micro-municipal rate methodology for how Estill Springs's small municipal row is sourced and ranked.
Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program CIUS Table 8 municipal crime rates · 2024 Estill Springs, TN rates use the reporting-year population on the municipal row.
Bulk download: city crime dataset (CSV/JSON)
Put this to use
Put the Estill Springs, TN FBI UCR record to work: compare peers, open the state atlas, or look up another city.
A citywide UCR rate is a starting point, not a neighbourhood verdict: read the full profile and the year coverage notes before drawing conclusions.
Every figure on PlainCrime is rendered directly from FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) source data, no number is typed in by an editor. Estill Springs is scored as a small municipal UCR reporter (2,271 on the row). See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.