Estill Springs, TN carries a PlainCrime C safety grade with violent crime 50% above the U.S. average
According to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program for 2024, Estill Springs, TN shows violent crime at 528.4 per 100,000 residents and property crime at 572.4 per 100,000. Violent crime runs 50% above the U.S. average. PlainCrime assigns grade C from those rates. Figures are voluntary agency submissions joined to population denominators; incomplete coverage can move the number.
C safety grade
528.4/100K violent
572.4/100K property
+50% vs U.S.
The verdict
Estill Springs earns a C safety grade: violent crime runs 50% above the U.S. average, placing it among the highest-crime cities in the country.
C
PlainCrime safety grade
+50%
violent crime vs. U.S. average
13th
percentile of 7,769 U.S. cities
572.4
property crimes per 100K
Based on 12 reported violent incidents in a population of 2,271. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
What the 2024 FBI UCR record shows for Estill Springs, TN
Small-count caution
The violent-crime count is small enough that the derived rate is unstable
Estill Springs reported 12 violent offences in 2024 against a population of 2,271. At this volume one additional or one fewer report moves the per-100,000 rate noticeably, so the figure is better read as a data point than as a precise measurement, and year-to-year swings here are expected.
Offense mix
Violent offenses make up an unusually large share of the reported mix
Violent offenses are 48.0% of the 25 Part I offenses reported in Estill Springs for 2024, against a median of 18.7% across comparable Tennessee cities — a gap of 29.3 points. Offense mix is shaped by which agencies report and how incidents are classified as well as by the underlying offenses, so it describes the reported record rather than a settled difference in conditions.
Comparable rate records
Estill Springs's closest reported-rate comparisons are in the Tennessee cohort
The nearest comparable 2024 records to Estill Springs's 528.4 violent-crime rate per 100,000 are Decherd (526.7), Carthage (532.2), Mosheim (507.2), South Fulton (503.9). These are same-year agency submissions that pass the same completeness screen, not a claim that the cities have identical conditions. They make the cohort position above checkable against named records instead of a generic state average.
2020–2024 direction
The reported violent-crime rate ended the window lower
Across 5 comparable reporting years, the rate moved from 1031.9 per 100,000 in 2020 to 528.4 in 2024 (-48.8%). The highest observed value was 1031.9 in 2020 and the lowest 219.0 in 2023. Years whose submission failed the completeness test are left out of this comparison rather than plotted as change.
Position in the state cohort
Estill Springs reported a higher violent-crime rate than most comparable Tennessee cities
At 528.4 reported violent offenses per 100,000 residents in 2024, Estill Springs ranks 35 of 176 — above 141 of the 175 other Tennessee cities whose 2024 submission passes this site’s completeness test. That is +77.1% against the cohort median of 298.4. Cities that did not report, or that reported implausibly low totals, are excluded from this cohort rather than counted as low-crime.
Property-offense composition
Burglary and vehicle theft carry more of the property total than they do across the cohort
Larceny-theft is 61.5% of reported property offenses in Estill Springs, against a cohort median of 77.1%. The remainder is burglary (4) and motor vehicle theft (1). Composition differences of this size usually track what kinds of places and property are present in a jurisdiction.
Estill Springs's FBI UCR Table 8 municipal row keeps violent and property totals in a closer balance. Per-100,000 rates use the reporting-year population on that row; incomplete reporters stay out of rate rankings. A citywide figure rarely describes any single neighbourhood inside the municipal boundary.
Based on 12 reported violent incidents in a population of 2,271. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
On a small municipal row, small denominators make rates sensitive to a handful of incidents. Figures are reported totals, not neighbourhood advice.
Violent rate moved most (2023→2024)
Violent Crime Rate
+141.3%
219 → 528.4/100K
Property Crime Rate
-37.8%
919.8 → 572.4/100K
Estill Springs's 2024 offense mix (violent and property)
Offense
Count
Rate /100K
vs US avg
Property Crime
13
572.4
1711
Larceny-Theft
8
352.3
-
Burglary
4
176.1
-
Motor Vehicle Theft
1
44
-
Arson
0
0
-
Violent Crime
12
528.4
352
Aggravated Assault
9
396.3
-
Rape
2
88.1
-
Robbery
1
44
-
Murder
0
0
-
Estill Springs Crime Trend (2020-2024)
Estill Springs violent crime rate trend
Secondary series · fell · 2020-2024 · FBI UCR
Violent crime rate (2024)
528.4/100K↑141.3%vs 2023
Estill Springs property crime rate trend
Lead series · fell across 5 comparable years · FBI UCR
Property crime rate (2024)
572.4/100K↓37.8%vs 2023
Year
Coverage
Population
Violent Rate
Property Rate
Total Crimes
2020
Comparable
2,035
1031.9
1081.1
43
2021
Comparable
2,042
734.6
1077.4
37
2022
Comparable
2,266
573.7
1103.3
38
2023
Comparable
2,283
219
919.8
26
2024
Comparable
2,271
528.4
572.4
25
How Estill Springs sits among TN peers
Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program · split lines are the U.S. national averages
Reporting Agency
Estill Springs Police Department NIBRS-participating
Estill Springs's crime figures on this page originate from Estill Springs Police Department's submission to the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program.
This agency reports via NIBRS, the incident-based system that captures more detail per offense (multiple crimes per incident, victim/offender data) than the older summary counts.
Similar-Size Cities in Tennessee
Crime rates read differently at different scales, so these are the Tennessee cities closest to Estill Springs in population. Their populations run from 2,189 to 2,357, against 2,271 here. Or use our
side-by-side compare tool
to benchmark two cities directly.
These Tennessee cities report the closest violent-crime rates to Estill Springs's 528.4/100K (same FBI UCR vintage rules; size peers above are excluded so the two lists stay distinct).
Estill Springs has a violent crime rate of 528.4 per 100,000 residents and a property crime rate of 572.4 per 100,000, based on 2024 FBI UCR data.
Is Estill Springs, TN safe? ▼
Estill Springs receives a safety grade of C (Average), with a safety score of 42/100. The violent crime rate is 50% above the national average and 12% below the Tennessee average.
What is the population of Estill Springs, TN? ▼
The reporting population for Estill Springs is 2,271 as of 2024.
How many crimes were reported in Estill Springs? ▼
In 2024, Estill Springs reported 12 violent crimes and 13 property crimes, for a total of 25 reported offenses.
How do Estill Springs's reported offenses compare with its population? ▼
In 2024, Estill Springs recorded about one reported offense per 91 residents and one reported violent offense per 189 residents. These ratios count reported offenses, not distinct victims, and are not a person's probability of victimization.
Is crime increasing or decreasing in Estill Springs? ▼
From 2023 to 2024, Estill Springs's violent crime rate increased by 141.3%, and the property crime rate decreased by 37.8%.
What is the most common crime in Estill Springs? ▼
The most common crime type in Estill Springs is aggravated assault, accounting for 36.0% of all reported crimes (9 incidents in 2024).
Micro-municipal read: Estill Springs's FBI UCR Table 8 row (2024) is the only source for the rates above.
With a small population base, per-100,000 rates amplify sparse counts. Incomplete submissions are excluded from rankings. See FBI.gov UCR for the raw Table 8 file.
Disclaimer (small municipal): small-base rates are especially easy to misread. Informational only - not advice. Source: FBI UCR Program.
Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program CIUS Table 8 municipal crime rates · 2024 Estill Springs, TN rates use the reporting-year population on the municipal row.