Lincoln, AR has a D safety grade (35/100) with a violent crime rate of 589 per 100,000, 67% above the national average.
FBI UCR 2024 · per-capita rates · small municipal
Lincoln's UCR row covers a small municipal population (2,378). Rates below are per 100,000 and sit next to AR and U.S. averages.
Data updated 2026-08-24
Lincoln, AR carries a PlainCrime D safety grade with violent crime 67% above the U.S. average
According to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program for 2024, Lincoln, AR shows violent crime at 588.7 per 100,000 residents and property crime at 714.9 per 100,000. Violent crime runs 67% above the U.S. average. PlainCrime assigns grade D from those rates. Figures are voluntary agency submissions joined to population denominators; incomplete coverage can move the number.
2020–2024 direction
Across 5 comparable reporting years, the rate moved from 239.7 per 100,000 in 2020 to 588.7 in 2024 (+145.6%). The highest observed value was 641.6 in 2023 and the lowest 239.7 in 2020. Years whose submission failed the completeness test are left out of this comparison rather than plotted as change.
Small-count caution
Lincoln reported 14 violent offences in 2024 against a population of 2,378. At this volume one additional or one fewer report moves the per-100,000 rate noticeably, so the figure is better read as a data point than as a precise measurement, and year-to-year swings here are expected.
Offense mix
Violent offenses are 45.2% of the 31 Part I offenses reported in Lincoln for 2024, against a median of 21.0% across comparable Arkansas cities — a gap of 24.1 points. Offense mix is shaped by which agencies report and how incidents are classified as well as by the underlying offenses, so it describes the reported record rather than a settled difference in conditions.
Comparable rate records
The nearest comparable 2024 records to Lincoln's 588.7 violent-crime rate per 100,000 are Leachville (582.0), Kibler (574.7), Alexander (570.8), Marshall (610.7). These are same-year agency submissions that pass the same completeness screen, not a claim that the cities have identical conditions. They make the cohort position above checkable against named records instead of a generic state average.
Position in the state cohort
At 588.7 reported violent offenses per 100,000 residents in 2024, Lincoln ranks 44 of 204 — above 160 of the 203 other Arkansas cities whose 2024 submission passes this site’s completeness test. That is +92.3% against the cohort median of 306.2. Cities that did not report, or that reported implausibly low totals, are excluded from this cohort rather than counted as low-crime.
Property-offense composition
Larceny-theft is 88.2% of reported property offenses in Lincoln, against a cohort median of 74.4%. The remainder is burglary (2) and motor vehicle theft (0). Composition differences of this size usually track what kinds of places and property are present in a jurisdiction.
Lincoln's FBI UCR Table 8 municipal row keeps violent and property totals in a closer balance. Per-100,000 rates use the reporting-year population on that row; incomplete reporters stay out of rate rankings. A citywide figure rarely describes any single neighbourhood inside the municipal boundary.
Based on 14 reported violent incidents in a population of 2,378. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
On a small municipal row, small denominators make rates sensitive to a handful of incidents. Figures are reported totals, not neighbourhood advice.
Across 2.9 Census sq mi, Lincoln logged 5.9 property and 4.9 violent offenses per square mile in 2024.
Lincoln leans on larceny-theft at 48% of reported offenses, with a moderate mix index of 3,736.
Violent offenses are 45% of the municipal total - a violence-heavy book for a small municipal.
Lincoln offense mix (2024)
Density uses Census Gazetteer land area (2.9 sq mi); mix index is HHI x 10,000 on the offense-type shares above. Distinct from the per-100K rates in the hero.
| Offense | Count | Rate /100K |
|---|---|---|
| Property Crime | 17 | 714.9 |
| Larceny-Theft | 15 | 630.8 |
| Burglary | 2 | 84.1 |
| Motor Vehicle Theft | 0 | 0 |
| Arson | 0 | 0 |
| Violent Crime | 14 | 588.7 |
| Aggravated Assault | 11 | 462.6 |
| Rape | 3 | 126.2 |
| Murder | 0 | 0 |
| Robbery | 0 | 0 |
Secondary series · rose · 2020-2024 · FBI UCR
Lead series · fell across 5 comparable years · FBI UCR
| Year | Coverage | Population | Violent Rate | Property Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Comparable | 2,503 | 239.7 | 1757.9 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 2,492 | 361.2 | 2287.3 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 2,309 | 606.3 | 1342.6 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 2,338 | 641.6 | 1710.9 |
| 2024 | Comparable | 2,378 | 588.7 | 714.9 |
Lincoln Police Department filed the 2024 UCR row behind Lincoln's 31 reported offenses (5-year span 2020-2024).
This agency reports via NIBRS, the incident-based system that captures more detail per offense (multiple crimes per incident, victim/offender data) than the older summary counts.
Crime rates read differently at different scales, so these are the Arkansas cities closest to Lincoln in population. Their populations run from 2,241 to 2,533, against 2,378 here. Or use our side-by-side compare tool to benchmark two cities directly.
Lincoln sits at 588.7/100K violent (grade D); the Arkansas cities below are the nearest matches after size peers are removed.
In 2024, Lincoln reported 14 violent crimes and 17 property crimes, for a total of 31 reported offenses.
From 2023 to 2024, Lincoln's violent crime rate decreased by 8.2%, and the property crime rate decreased by 58.2%.
The most common crime type in Lincoln is larceny-theft, accounting for 48.4% of all reported crimes (15 incidents in 2024).
Micro-municipal read: Lincoln's FBI UCR Table 8 row (2024) is the only source for the rates above.
With a small population base, per-100,000 rates amplify sparse counts. Incomplete submissions are excluded from rankings. See FBI.gov UCR for the raw Table 8 file.
Disclaimer (small municipal): small-base rates are especially easy to misread. Informational only - not advice. Source: FBI UCR Program.
Micro-municipal rate methodology for how Lincoln's small municipal row is sourced and ranked.
Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program CIUS Table 8 municipal crime rates · 2024 Lincoln, AR rates use the reporting-year population on the municipal row.
Bulk download: city crime dataset (CSV/JSON)
Every figure on PlainCrime is rendered directly from FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) source data, no number is typed in by an editor. Lincoln is scored as a small municipal UCR reporter (2,378 on the row). See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.