Minnesota's comparable FBI window (2014–2024, 11 years) splits: one major offense rate rose while the other fell — the lead series is the larger |endpoint %| move.
Split-window verdict
Minnesota's violent crime rate rose 13.4% from 2014 to 2024; its property crime rate fell 29.5%. A single combined label would hide that split, so the evidence below keeps the two series separate.
Recent direction check
From 2021 to 2024, the violent-crime rate fell 16.4%, compared with +13.4% across the full 2014-2024 window. That difference is why the latest few observations should be read separately from the decade-scale endpoints.
Full-window endpoints
Violent crime moved from 228.8 to 259.4 per 100,000 (+13.4%). Property crime moved from 2303.2 to 1624.6 (-29.5%). These are endpoint comparisons, not proof that every intervening year followed the same direction.
Peak and trough
The highest observed violent-crime rate was 310.2 in 2021; the lowest was 220.4 in 2018. The latest value lies 43% of the way from that low to that peak, which shows whether the endpoint is close to an extreme or near the middle of the observed range.
Latest national comparison
For 2024, the state rate was 259.4 per 100,000 versus 352.0 across the state records in this dataset, a gap of 26.3% below. This is a state-level benchmark, not a neighborhood-safety conclusion.
Year-to-year movement
The largest annual change ran from 2019 to 2020: +17.4%. Across the full sequence, 4 year-to-year steps rose by more than 1% and 5 fell by more than 1%. A single sharp step can reflect participation or reporting changes as well as a real change in recorded offenses.
Rate denominator
The reported population changed from 5,457,173 to 5,793,151 (+6.2%). Rates account for that denominator change; raw offense counts do not. This is one reason a count and a per-100,000 rate can move by different percentages over the same years.
Minnesota's property rate fell 13.3% (-264.5 per 100K) from 2022 to 2023 (1988.8 → 1724.3) — the sharpest comparable year-to-year step in this window. The largest move the other way was jumped 4.7% from 2018 to 2019 (2000.3 → 2095.0).
Minnesota's property gap vs the US aggregate moved from 8.6% below in 2014 to 5.0% below in 2024 (+3.6 pp).
| Year | Coverage | Population | Property | Rate | YoY | Violent | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Comparable | 5,793,151 | 94,113 | 1624.6 | ↓ 5.8% | 15,025 | 259.4 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 5,737,915 | 98,940 | 1724.3 | ↓ 13.3% | 15,145 | 263.9 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 5,717,184 | 113,706 | 1988.8 | ↓ 3.7% | 16,218 | 283.7 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 5,707,390 | 117,898 | 2065.7 | ↓ 3.6% | 17,705 | 310.2 |
| 2020 | Comparable | 5,657,342 | 121,216 | 2142.6 | ↑ 2.3% | 15,765 | 278.7 |
| 2019 | Comparable | 5,639,632 | 118,150 | 2095 | ↑ 4.7% | 13,383 | 237.3 |
| 2018 | Comparable | 5,611,179 | 112,238 | 2000.3 | ↓ 9.1% | 12,366 | 220.4 |
| 2017 | Comparable | 5,576,606 | 122,760 | 2201.3 | ↑ 3.2% | 13,321 | 238.9 |
| 2016 | Comparable | 5,519,952 | 117,747 | 2133.1 | ↓ 4.4% | 13,268 | 240.4 |
| 2015 | Comparable | 5,489,594 | 122,429 | 2230.2 | ↓ 3.2% | 13,383 | 243.8 |
| 2014 | Comparable | 5,457,173 | 125,689 | 2303.2 | - | 12,485 | 228.8 |
More in Minnesota: overview, safest cities, most dangerous, compare. Methodology — FBI UCR / Crime Data Explorer rates per 100,000 for Minnesota (2014–2024); Census population where FBI denominators are missing.