Horseshoe Bay, TX has a A safety grade (89/100) with a violent crime rate of 37 per 100,000, 89% below the national average.
Horseshoe Bay is a small municipal reporter (5,351 on the UCR row). Per-100,000 violent and property rates are shown with TX and U.S. context.
Horseshoe Bay, TX carries a PlainCrime A safety grade with violent crime 89% below the U.S. average
According to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program for 2024, Horseshoe Bay, TX shows violent crime at 37.4 per 100,000 residents and property crime at 784.9 per 100,000. Violent crime runs 89% below the U.S. average. PlainCrime assigns grade A from those rates. Figures are voluntary agency submissions joined to population denominators; incomplete coverage can move the number.
The verdict
Horseshoe Bay earns an A safety grade: violent crime runs 89% below the U.S. average, placing it among the safest cities in the country.
Based on 2 reported violent incidents in a population of 5,351. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
Small-count caution
Horseshoe Bay reported 2 violent offences in 2024 against a population of 5,351. At this volume one additional or one fewer report moves the per-100,000 rate noticeably, so the figure is better read as a data point than as a precise measurement, and year-to-year swings here are expected.
2020–2024 direction
Across 5 comparable reporting years, the rate moved from 146.9 per 100,000 in 2020 to 37.4 in 2024 (-74.6%). The highest observed value was 170.5 in 2022 and the lowest 37.4 in 2024. Years whose submission failed the completeness test are left out of this comparison rather than plotted as change.
Position in the state cohort
At 37.4 reported violent offenses per 100,000 residents in 2024, Horseshoe Bay ranks 598 of 686 — above 88 of the 685 other Texas cities whose 2024 submission passes this site’s completeness test. That is -79.2% against the cohort median of 179.9. Cities that did not report, or that reported implausibly low totals, are excluded from this cohort rather than counted as low-crime.
Comparable rate records
The nearest comparable 2024 records to Horseshoe Bay's 37.4 violent-crime rate per 100,000 are Palmer (38.4), Melissa (35.9), Colleyville (39.0), Terrell Hills (39.5). These are same-year agency submissions that pass the same completeness screen, not a claim that the cities have identical conditions. They make the cohort position above checkable against named records instead of a generic state average.
Offense mix
Violent offenses are 4.5% of the 44 Part I offenses reported in Horseshoe Bay for 2024, against a median of 14.4% across comparable Texas cities — a gap of 9.8 points. Offense mix is shaped by which agencies report and how incidents are classified as well as by the underlying offenses, so it describes the reported record rather than a settled difference in conditions.
Property counts dominate Horseshoe Bay's FBI UCR Table 8 municipal row. Per-100,000 rates use the reporting-year population on that row; cities that fail the completeness test stay out of rate rankings. A citywide figure rarely describes any single neighbourhood inside the municipal boundary.
Based on 2 reported violent incidents in a population of 5,351. At this volume, one additional or one fewer report can shift the rate and letter grade noticeably; small-city crime counts are inherently more volatile year to year than large-city counts, so treat this grade as a data point, not a precise ranking.
Small-city offense counts above are voluntary UCR submissions, not neighbourhood advice. Year-to-year swings can look large when the population base is modest.
| Offense | Count | Rate /100K |
|---|---|---|
| Property Crime | 42 | 784.9 |
| Larceny-Theft | 28 | 523.3 |
| Burglary | 13 | 242.9 |
| Motor Vehicle Theft | 1 | 18.7 |
| Arson | 0 | 0 |
| Violent Crime | 2 | 37.4 |
| Rape | 2 | 37.4 |
| Murder | 0 | 0 |
| Robbery | 0 | 0 |
| Aggravated Assault | 0 | 0 |
Lead series · rose across 5 comparable years · FBI UCR
Secondary series · fell · 2020-2024 · FBI UCR
| Year | Coverage | Population | Violent Rate | Property Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Comparable | 4,085 | 146.9 | 146.9 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 4,227 | 165.6 | 662.4 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 4,693 | 170.5 | 1108 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 5,009 | 79.9 | 718.7 |
| 2024 | Comparable | 5,351 | 37.4 | 784.9 |
Horseshoe Bay's crime figures on this page originate from Horseshoe Bay Police Department's submission to the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program.
This agency reports via NIBRS, the incident-based system that captures more detail per offense (multiple crimes per incident, victim/offender data) than the older summary counts.
Crime rates read differently at different scales, so these are the Texas cities closest to Horseshoe Bay in population. Their populations run from 5,240 to 5,420, against 5,351 here. Or use our side-by-side compare tool to benchmark two cities directly.
These Texas cities report the closest violent-crime rates to Horseshoe Bay's 37.4/100K (same FBI UCR vintage rules; size peers above are excluded so the two lists stay distinct).
Small-city read: Horseshoe Bay is sourced from FBI UCR Table 8 for 2024; rates use that row's population.
Small-city rows use the same per-100,000 formula; a few unreported years can leave gaps in the trend table. Verify the agency's submission on FBI.gov UCR.
Disclaimer (small city): UCR counts here are informational only. They are not a victimization probability. Source: FBI UCR Program.
Small-city rate methodology for how Horseshoe Bay's small city row is sourced and ranked.
Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program CIUS Table 8 municipal crime rates · 2024 Horseshoe Bay, TX rates use the reporting-year population on the municipal row.
Bulk download: city crime dataset (CSV/JSON)
Every figure on PlainCrime is rendered directly from FBI Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) source data, no number is typed in by an editor. Horseshoe Bay is scored as a small-city UCR reporter (5,351 on the row). See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.