Michigan's comparable FBI window (2014–2024, 11 years) splits: one major offense rate rose while the other fell — the lead series is the larger |endpoint %| move.
Split-window verdict
Michigan's violent crime rate rose 1.3% from 2014 to 2024; its property crime rate fell 31.5%. A single combined label would hide that split, so the evidence below keeps the two series separate.
Full-window endpoints
Violent crime moved from 425.8 to 431.4 per 100,000 (+1.3%). Property crime moved from 2036.1 to 1395.3 (-31.5%). These are endpoint comparisons, not proof that every intervening year followed the same direction.
Latest national comparison
For 2024, the state rate was 431.4 per 100,000 versus 352.0 across the state records in this dataset, a gap of 22.6% above. This is a state-level benchmark, not a neighborhood-safety conclusion.
Recent direction check
From 2021 to 2024, the violent-crime rate fell 11.7%, compared with +1.3% across the full 2014-2024 window. That difference is why the latest few observations should be read separately from the decade-scale endpoints.
Peak and trough
The highest observed violent-crime rate was 488.5 in 2021; the lowest was 417.8 in 2015. The latest value lies 19% of the way from that low to that peak, which shows whether the endpoint is close to an extreme or near the middle of the observed range.
Year-to-year movement
The largest annual change ran from 2019 to 2020: +11.6%. Across the full sequence, 2 year-to-year steps rose by more than 1% and 6 fell by more than 1%. A single sharp step can reflect participation or reporting changes as well as a real change in recorded offenses.
Michigan's property rate rose 13.6% (+186.6 per 100K) from 2021 to 2022 (1369.1 → 1555.7) — the sharpest comparable year-to-year step in this window. The largest move the other way was dropped 11.6% from 2019 to 2020 (1587.4 → 1402.5).
Michigan's property gap vs the US aggregate moved from 19.2% below in 2014 to 18.5% below in 2024 (+0.8 pp).
| Year | Coverage | Population | Property | Rate | YoY | Violent | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Comparable | 10,140,459 | 141,493 | 1395.3 | ↓ 10.7% | 43,741 | 431.4 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 10,037,261 | 156,904 | 1563.2 | ↑ 0.5% | 45,740 | 455.7 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 10,034,113 | 156,104 | 1555.7 | ↑ 13.6% | 46,230 | 460.7 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 10,050,811 | 137,605 | 1369.1 | ↓ 2.4% | 49,103 | 488.5 |
| 2020 | Comparable | 9,966,555 | 139,785 | 1402.5 | ↓ 11.6% | 48,632 | 488 |
| 2019 | Comparable | 9,986,857 | 158,534 | 1587.4 | ↓ 5.0% | 43,667 | 437.2 |
| 2018 | Comparable | 9,995,915 | 167,092 | 1671.6 | ↓ 8.1% | 45,245 | 452.6 |
| 2017 | Comparable | 9,962,311 | 181,139 | 1818.2 | ↓ 5.2% | 44,972 | 451.4 |
| 2016 | Comparable | 9,928,300 | 190,485 | 1918.6 | ↓ 0.6% | 45,512 | 458.4 |
| 2015 | Comparable | 9,922,576 | 191,611 | 1931.1 | ↓ 5.2% | 41,453 | 417.8 |
| 2014 | Comparable | 9,909,877 | 201,778 | 2036.1 | - | 42,196 | 425.8 |
More in Michigan: overview, safest cities, most dangerous, compare. Methodology — FBI UCR / Crime Data Explorer rates per 100,000 for Michigan (2014–2024); Census population where FBI denominators are missing.