Pennsylvania's comparable FBI window (2014–2024, 11 years) shows declines on both major offense rates — charts below keep the larger |endpoint| move first.
Declining-window verdict
Pennsylvania's violent crime rate fell 20.7% from 2014 to 2024; its property crime rate fell 25.0%. The endpoints agree on the broad direction, but the intervening years still matter.
Recent direction check
From 2021 to 2024, the violent-crime rate rose 46.0%, compared with -20.7% across the full 2014-2024 window. That difference is why the latest few observations should be read separately from the decade-scale endpoints.
Peak and trough
The highest observed violent-crime rate was 315.1 in 2016; the lowest was 170.9 in 2021. The latest value lies 55% of the way from that low to that peak, which shows whether the endpoint is close to an extreme or near the middle of the observed range.
Full-window endpoints
Violent crime moved from 314.7 to 249.5 per 100,000 (-20.7%). Property crime moved from 1942.8 to 1457.1 (-25.0%). These are endpoint comparisons, not proof that every intervening year followed the same direction.
Year-to-year movement
The largest annual change ran from 2021 to 2022: +45.2%. Across the full sequence, 2 year-to-year steps rose by more than 1% and 5 fell by more than 1%. A single sharp step can reflect participation or reporting changes as well as a real change in recorded offenses.
Latest national comparison
For 2024, the state rate was 249.5 per 100,000 versus 352.0 across the state records in this dataset, a gap of 29.1% below. This is a state-level benchmark, not a neighborhood-safety conclusion.
Pennsylvania's property rate rose 94.3% (+612.7 per 100K) from 2021 to 2022 (649.8 → 1262.5) — the sharpest comparable year-to-year step in this window. The largest move the other way was dropped 41.9% from 2020 to 2021 (1118.6 → 649.8).
Pennsylvania's property gap vs the US aggregate moved from 22.9% below in 2014 to 14.8% below in 2024 (+8.1 pp).
| Year | Coverage | Population | Property | Rate | YoY | Violent | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Comparable | 13,078,751 | 190,567 | 1457.1 | ↓ 5.7% | 32,633 | 249.5 |
| 2023 | Comparable | 12,961,683 | 200,225 | 1544.7 | ↑ 22.4% | 34,411 | 265.5 |
| 2022 | Comparable | 12,972,008 | 163,770 | 1262.5 | ↑ 94.3% | 32,195 | 248.2 |
| 2021 | Comparable | 12,964,004 | 84,235 | 649.8 | ↓ 41.9% | 22,156 | 170.9 |
| 2020 | Comparable | 12,783,254 | 142,994 | 1118.6 | ↓ 16.1% | 33,249 | 260.1 |
| 2019 | Comparable | 12,801,989 | 170,647 | 1333 | ↓ 11.0% | 36,819 | 287.6 |
| 2018 | Comparable | 12,807,060 | 191,905 | 1498.4 | ↓ 9.3% | 39,156 | 305.7 |
| 2017 | Comparable | 12,805,537 | 211,461 | 1651.3 | ↓ 5.5% | 40,004 | 312.4 |
| 2016 | Comparable | 12,784,227 | 223,332 | 1746.9 | ↓ 4.0% | 40,279 | 315.1 |
| 2015 | Comparable | 12,802,503 | 232,990 | 1819.9 | ↓ 6.3% | 40,127 | 313.4 |
| 2014 | Comparable | 12,787,209 | 248,431 | 1942.8 | - | 40,240 | 314.7 |
More in Pennsylvania: overview, safest cities, most dangerous, compare. Methodology — FBI UCR / Crime Data Explorer rates per 100,000 for Pennsylvania (2014–2024); Census population where FBI denominators are missing.